Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.807940 0.943550 1.094673 1.275550 1.486169 1.723721 2.012069
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.578286 0.754373 0.972903 1.263992 1.641711 2.115563 2.755839
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.456158 0.643976 0.895660 1.257505 1.764696 2.451034 3.451986
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.381302 0.574007 0.848854 1.269281 1.896676 2.799458 4.200177
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.312607 0.497503 0.775831 1.225056 1.932730 3.006534 4.764192
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.288743 0.482851 0.789416 1.308424 2.166379 3.531100 5.873800
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.245541 0.429670 0.733550 1.271026 2.199577 3.741752 6.506897
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.209513 0.382373 0.679514 1.226818 2.211760 3.914263 7.092412
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.180873 0.343357 0.633510 1.188604 2.226449 4.088645 7.698353
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.165305 0.325633 0.622371 1.210661 2.350741 4.469349 8.723943
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.159040 0.324442 0.641106 1.290404 2.592074 5.092352 10.283932
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.148327 0.312878 0.638267 1.327287 2.754038 5.582582 11.646168
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.134993 0.294567 0.620614 1.333913 2.860143 5.984250 12.901180
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.121499 0.274049 0.595882 1.322760 2.928643 6.320084 14.069431
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.110114 0.256417 0.574723 1.316026 3.005000 6.680678 15.338068
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.101598 0.243965 0.563025 1.328351 3.124514 7.148053 16.905295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089861 0.222321 0.527855 1.282076 3.103898 7.301067 17.771933
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.088290 0.224760 0.548333 1.369308 3.407708 8.231449 20.595718
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.079009 0.206862 0.518324 1.330177 3.401198 8.432946 21.678079
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.070406 0.189446 0.487185 1.283920 3.370595 8.571980 22.622664
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063108 0.174391 0.459963 1.243934 3.350469 8.733936 23.647398
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.059619 0.169050 0.456926 1.267014 3.498333 9.339822 25.920962
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.059079 0.171753 0.475368 1.350453 3.819307 10.435180 29.662144